Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 46.216837 53.048496 60.156096 68.071308 76.608740 85.510812 95.465591
2024-10-06 36.481842 46.150387 56.785614 69.221065 83.236096 98.425811 116.017519
2024-10-13 30.956896 42.171450 55.025092 70.576289 88.624599 108.676862 132.409254
2024-10-20 25.756219 37.732103 52.008536 69.829283 91.054348 115.142578 144.172856
2024-10-27 21.091931 33.301968 48.442845 67.919626 91.683434 119.177375 152.848597
2024-11-03 19.352979 32.340592 48.922437 70.715921 97.755788 129.452397 168.689318
2024-11-10 17.475656 30.952574 48.670552 72.449842 102.428665 138.004141 182.481557
2024-11-17 14.852225 28.228708 46.435662 71.465310 103.590678 142.232030 191.065746
2024-11-24 12.596242 25.762098 44.323396 70.447079 104.554947 146.104016 199.138156
2024-12-01 11.020390 24.126309 43.200160 70.603720 106.910561 151.613081 209.147502
2024-12-08 9.661447 22.664555 42.194533 70.814329 109.259321 157.065921 219.065847
2024-12-15 8.592974 21.546366 41.586887 71.490940 112.161188 163.180477 229.790039
2024-12-22 7.247704 19.797765 39.947575 70.681658 113.100272 166.863142 237.600927
2024-12-29 6.519286 19.060778 39.781698 71.910893 116.737489 173.978418 249.713721
2025-01-05 5.902127 18.446843 39.749349 73.291521 120.557540 181.325311 262.133226
2025-01-12 4.943327 17.008679 38.298511 72.527588 121.406766 184.815139 269.692778
2025-01-19 3.913118 15.217034 36.122655 70.571665 120.525282 185.992941 274.281393
2025-01-26 3.758506 15.342603 37.156826 73.435367 126.339619 195.932704 290.037358
2025-02-02 3.454423 15.070953 37.482966 75.210570 130.634621 203.894975 303.303160
2025-02-09 2.808901 13.835828 36.039658 74.202642 130.967992 206.609319 309.842371
2025-02-16 2.250493 12.672449 34.624393 73.160088 131.194293 209.143013 316.126152
2025-02-23 1.894909 11.972195 33.998637 73.320480 133.114863 213.922658 325.310764
2025-03-02 1.589083 11.330354 33.430207 73.536126 135.093657 218.772866 334.592986